Liga MX Finals - Apertura Semi-finals
Global 5-0
Monterrey vs CA Morelia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
68.1%
Win probability
2.17
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.7%
4-0
4.6%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.6%
3-0
8.5%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.1%
2-0
11.7%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.6%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
18.9%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.8%
13%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.1%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+11%
+18%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Monterrey
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Dec. 2017 |
MOR
0 - 1
MON
35%
25%
40%
|
85 | 80 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2017 |
MON
4 - 1
ATS
71%
18%
11%
|
85 | 78 | 7 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2017 |
ATS
1 - 2
MON
29%
26%
46%
|
85 | 78 | 7 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2017 |
MON
2 - 0
TIG
55%
23%
22%
|
84 | 84 | 0 | +1 |
| 16 Nov. 2017 |
MON
0 - 0
AME
57%
22%
21%
|
84 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
CA Morelia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Dec. 2017 |
MOR
0 - 1
MON
35%
25%
40%
|
80 | 85 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2017 |
MOR
2 - 1
TOL
42%
26%
33%
|
80 | 84 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2017 |
TOL
2 - 1
MOR
61%
22%
17%
|
80 | 84 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2017 |
NEC
1 - 2
MOR
43%
27%
31%
|
80 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2017 |
MOR
1 - 2
CAZ
51%
25%
24%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |