Copa MX Semi-finals

Global 2-2

Monterrey vs FC Juárez analysis

Monterrey FC Juárez
84 ELO 75
7.5% Tilt -2.3%
328º General ELO ranking 819º
Country ELO ranking 21º
ELO win probability
67.4%
Monterrey
19.3%
Draw
13.3%
FC Juárez

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
67.4%
Win probability
Monterrey
2.12
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.5%
4-0
4.5%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.3%
3-0
8.4%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.8%
2-0
11.9%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.5%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
19.3%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.3%
13.3%
Win probability
FC Juárez
0.82
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.3%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Monterrey
+13%
+4%
FC Juárez

ELO progression

Monterrey
FC Juárez
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Monterrey
Monterrey
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
08 Mar. 2020
MON
Monterrey
2 - 2
Atl. San Luis
AUR
73%
17%
10%
84 70 14 0
05 Mar. 2020
JUA
FC Juárez
2 - 0
Monterrey
MON
27%
26%
48%
84 75 9 0
29 Feb. 2020
TOL
Toluca
2 - 0
Monterrey
MON
37%
25%
39%
85 78 7 -1
23 Feb. 2020
MON
Monterrey
0 - 1
América
AME
51%
23%
26%
85 84 1 0
20 Feb. 2020
MON
Monterrey
1 - 0
Santos Laguna
SAN
56%
22%
23%
85 82 3 0

Matches

FC Juárez
FC Juárez
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
09 Mar. 2020
JUA
FC Juárez
1 - 4
León
LEO
26%
25%
49%
76 83 7 0
05 Mar. 2020
JUA
FC Juárez
2 - 0
Monterrey
MON
27%
26%
48%
75 84 9 +1
29 Feb. 2020
AUR
Atl. San Luis
0 - 3
FC Juárez
JUA
43%
27%
31%
74 71 3 +1
24 Feb. 2020
JUA
FC Juárez
1 - 2
Santos Laguna
SAN
28%
25%
47%
74 82 8 0
20 Feb. 2020
JUA
FC Juárez
3 - 0
Dorados
DOR
49%
24%
27%
73 71 2 +1