CONCACAF Champions Semi-finals
Global 3-3
Monterrey vs Deportivo Saprissa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
62.2%
Win probability
1.99
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.1%
3-0
7.1%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.1%
2-0
10.7%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
21%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
10%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
21%
16.8%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.3%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.1%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Monterrey
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Apr. 2005 |
MOR
1 - 2
MON
51%
24%
26%
|
80 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2005 |
SAP
2 - 2
MON
42%
25%
33%
|
80 | 76 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2005 |
MON
1 - 1
NEC
53%
24%
24%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2005 |
MON
2 - 1
EST
61%
22%
17%
|
80 | 74 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2005 |
MUN
0 - 0
MON
32%
23%
45%
|
80 | 64 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
Deportivo Saprissa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Apr. 2005 |
SAP
2 - 0
ADR
78%
15%
7%
|
75 | 60 | 15 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2005 |
SAP
2 - 2
MON
42%
25%
33%
|
76 | 80 | 4 | -1 |
| 03 Apr. 2005 |
CSH
0 - 1
SAP
49%
25%
26%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | +1 |
| 20 Mar. 2005 |
SAP
0 - 0
CSH
52%
24%
24%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2005 |
SAP
2 - 1
KCW
47%
25%
29%
|
75 | 79 | 4 | 0 |