Monterrey vs Cruz Azul analysis

Monterrey Cruz Azul
84 ELO 82
-1.7% Tilt -7.9%
324º General ELO ranking 320º
Country ELO ranking
ELO win probability
53%
Monterrey
24.3%
Draw
22.7%
Cruz Azul

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
53%
Win probability
Monterrey
1.68
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.1%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.3%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.3%
22.7%
Win probability
Cruz Azul
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.6%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.9%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Monterrey
+13%
+25%
Cruz Azul

Points and table prediction

Monterrey
Their league position
Cruz Azul
CURR.POS.
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
31
10º
42
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
Expected position in the table
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Cruz Azul
42
42
100%
Toluca
35
35
100%
Tigres UANL
34
34
100%
Monterrey
31
31
0%
Pumas UNAM
31
31
0%
Atl. San Luis
30
30
100%
América
27
27
100%
Tijuana
27
27
100%
Chivas Guadalajara
25
25
100%
Atlas FC
10º
22
22
10º
100%
León
11º
18
18
11º
100%
FC Juárez
12º
17
17
12º
100%
Necaxa
13º
15
15
13º
100%
Puebla
14º
15
15
14º
100%
Mazatlán
15º
14
14
15º
100%
Pachuca
16º
13
13
16º
100%
Querétaro
17º
12
12
17º
100%
Santos Laguna
18º
10
10
18º
100%
Expected probabilities
Monterrey
Cruz Azul
Final Series
100% 100%
Play-offs
0% 0%
Mid-table
0% 0%

ELO progression

Monterrey
Cruz Azul
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Monterrey
Monterrey
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
08 Jul. 2024
PAC
Pachuca
0 - 1
Monterrey
MON
50%
24%
26%
84 84 0 0
20 May. 2024
CAZ
Cruz Azul
1 - 2
Monterrey
MON
43%
26%
32%
84 82 2 0
17 May. 2024
MON
Monterrey
0 - 1
Cruz Azul
CAZ
55%
24%
22%
84 81 3 0
13 May. 2024
MON
Monterrey
1 - 1
Tigres UANL
TIG
48%
25%
27%
84 84 0 0
10 May. 2024
TIG
Tigres UANL
1 - 2
Monterrey
MON
50%
24%
26%
84 84 0 0

Matches

Cruz Azul
Cruz Azul
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
07 Jul. 2024
CAZ
Cruz Azul
1 - 0
Mazatlán
MAZ
59%
23%
18%
81 73 8 0
30 Jun. 2024
CAZ
Cruz Azul
1 - 0
América de Cali
AME
45%
25%
30%
81 82 1 0
22 Jun. 2024
CHI
Chivas Guadalajara
3 - 3
Cruz Azul
CAZ
52%
25%
24%
81 83 2 0
27 May. 2024
AME
América
1 - 0
Cruz Azul
CAZ
60%
22%
19%
81 84 3 0
24 May. 2024
CAZ
Cruz Azul
1 - 1
América
AME
38%
26%
36%
81 84 3 0