Liga MX Finals - Clausura Semi-finals
Global 2-2
Monterrey vs Cruz Azul analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
55.1%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.5%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.7%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.9%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.5%
21.5%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.9%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.5%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+12%
+23%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Monterrey
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 May. 2024 |
MON
1 - 1
TIG
48%
25%
27%
|
84 | 84 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2024 |
TIG
1 - 2
MON
50%
24%
26%
|
84 | 84 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 May. 2024 |
MON
1 - 3
COC
38%
25%
37%
|
84 | 86 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2024 |
NEC
2 - 5
MON
30%
28%
42%
|
84 | 76 | 8 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2024 |
COC
2 - 1
MON
56%
23%
21%
|
84 | 86 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Cruz Azul
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 May. 2024 |
CAZ
2 - 2
PUM
48%
25%
27%
|
81 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2024 |
PUM
0 - 2
CAZ
49%
25%
27%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2024 |
TOL
0 - 1
CAZ
64%
20%
16%
|
81 | 84 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2024 |
CAZ
2 - 2
ATS
53%
25%
22%
|
80 | 76 | 4 | +1 |
| 13 Apr. 2024 |
PUE
0 - 1
CAZ
33%
26%
41%
|
80 | 72 | 8 | 0 |