Liga MX Finals - Apertura Semi-finals
Global 1-1
Monterrey vs Cruz Azul analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
60.1%
Win probability
1.94
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.6%
3-0
6.7%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.4%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.4%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
21.7%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.7%
18.2%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
4.6%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
+21%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Monterrey
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Dec. 2018 |
SAN
0 - 2
MON
40%
26%
35%
|
84 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 2018 |
MON
1 - 0
SAN
57%
22%
21%
|
84 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2018 |
MON
3 - 1
ATS
75%
16%
9%
|
84 | 73 | 11 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2018 |
NEC
1 - 1
MON
28%
26%
46%
|
83 | 78 | 5 | +1 |
| 04 Nov. 2018 |
MON
2 - 0
VER
81%
13%
6%
|
84 | 66 | 18 | -1 |
Matches
Cruz Azul
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Dec. 2018 |
CAZ
1 - 1
QRO
56%
25%
19%
|
83 | 78 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 2018 |
QRO
0 - 2
CAZ
38%
28%
35%
|
82 | 79 | 3 | +1 |
| 24 Nov. 2018 |
MOR
0 - 2
CAZ
36%
27%
38%
|
82 | 77 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2018 |
CAZ
2 - 1
LOB
62%
23%
16%
|
81 | 68 | 13 | +1 |
| 04 Nov. 2018 |
PUM
1 - 2
CAZ
44%
25%
31%
|
82 | 78 | 4 | -1 |