Monterrey vs Cruz Azul analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
44.4%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.8%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.3%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.6%
25.8%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.8%
29.9%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
0-1
8.3%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17.8%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.3%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+13%
+25%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Monterrey
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jan. 2007 |
PAC
4 - 0
MON
50%
25%
25%
|
82 | 84 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2007 |
MON
1 - 0
SAN
55%
23%
23%
|
82 | 77 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2006 |
TOL
2 - 1
MON
50%
25%
24%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | -1 |
| 24 Nov. 2006 |
MON
0 - 0
TOL
53%
25%
22%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2006 |
MON
2 - 1
TOL
46%
26%
27%
|
82 | 84 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Cruz Azul
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jan. 2007 |
ATL
1 - 0
CAZ
39%
26%
35%
|
83 | 79 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2007 |
CAZ
3 - 2
PAC
46%
25%
29%
|
83 | 84 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2006 |
CAZ
2 - 2
CHI
51%
24%
25%
|
83 | 84 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2006 |
CHI
2 - 0
CAZ
48%
26%
26%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2006 |
CAZ
1 - 0
SAN
59%
21%
20%
|
83 | 78 | 5 | 0 |