Monterotondo Lupa vs Città di Castello analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
47.1%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.5%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.7%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.3%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.6%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
24.6%
28.3%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
7%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
16.8%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.8%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Monterotondo Lupa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Mar. 2010 |
ASD
1 - 2
MON
48%
24%
27%
|
33 | 32 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2010 |
MON
1 - 2
DER
48%
25%
28%
|
34 | 34 | 0 | -1 |
| 14 Mar. 2010 |
ASD
1 - 2
MON
32%
26%
43%
|
33 | 23 | 10 | +1 |
| 07 Mar. 2010 |
MON
1 - 0
MON
40%
25%
35%
|
32 | 35 | 3 | +1 |
| 28 Feb. 2010 |
SAN
0 - 1
MON
52%
24%
24%
|
31 | 34 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Città di Castello
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Mar. 2010 |
SSD
2 - 1
ORV
59%
22%
19%
|
33 | 31 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2010 |
ACD
3 - 0
SSD
52%
23%
25%
|
35 | 35 | 0 | -2 |
| 14 Mar. 2010 |
SSD
1 - 2
GAV
49%
24%
28%
|
35 | 36 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2010 |
SGP
0 - 4
SSD
36%
26%
39%
|
34 | 28 | 6 | +1 |
| 28 Feb. 2010 |
SSD
0 - 1
CAS
47%
23%
30%
|
35 | 36 | 1 | -1 |