Monterotondo Lupa vs Orvietana Calcio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
59.1%
Win probability
1.85
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.2%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.9%
2-0
10.7%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.2%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
22.5%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.4%
18.4%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.3%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.5%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Monterotondo Lupa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 May. 2010 |
FOR
1 - 0
MON
38%
26%
37%
|
34 | 29 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2010 |
MON
4 - 3
GAV
35%
25%
40%
|
33 | 38 | 5 | +1 |
| 18 Apr. 2010 |
ASS
2 - 1
MON
43%
25%
32%
|
34 | 31 | 3 | -1 |
| 11 Apr. 2010 |
MON
0 - 0
SSD
47%
25%
28%
|
34 | 34 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2010 |
ASD
1 - 2
MON
48%
24%
27%
|
33 | 32 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Orvietana Calcio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 May. 2010 |
ORV
0 - 1
CAS
29%
25%
46%
|
29 | 37 | 8 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2010 |
ACD
5 - 0
ORV
60%
22%
18%
|
31 | 33 | 2 | -2 |
| 18 Apr. 2010 |
GAV
1 - 1
ORV
66%
20%
14%
|
30 | 38 | 8 | +1 |
| 11 Apr. 2010 |
ORV
1 - 0
SGP
55%
24%
22%
|
30 | 26 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2010 |
SSD
2 - 1
ORV
59%
22%
19%
|
31 | 33 | 2 | -1 |