Monterotondo Lupa vs Astrea analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
52.2%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.3%
3-0
5%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.2%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.9%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.2%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
11%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.4%
24.5%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
15%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.6%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Monterotondo Lupa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jan. 2012 |
FID
1 - 1
MON
53%
23%
23%
|
31 | 33 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 2012 |
MON
0 - 0
CYN
55%
23%
23%
|
31 | 29 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 2011 |
MON
0 - 1
SAL
15%
22%
63%
|
31 | 60 | 29 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2011 |
CIV
1 - 2
MON
35%
26%
39%
|
31 | 24 | 7 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2011 |
BAC
0 - 0
MON
44%
25%
31%
|
31 | 29 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Astrea
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jan. 2012 |
AST
3 - 1
BAC
48%
24%
28%
|
28 | 30 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 2012 |
CIV
2 - 2
AST
36%
25%
39%
|
28 | 23 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 2011 |
PRO
1 - 1
AST
31%
25%
45%
|
29 | 21 | 8 | -1 |
| 11 Dec. 2011 |
AST
1 - 1
ARZ
55%
22%
23%
|
29 | 27 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2011 |
SEL
2 - 3
AST
65%
19%
15%
|
28 | 35 | 7 | +1 |