Montélimar vs Lorient analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
4.8%
Win probability
0.43
Expected goals
3-0
0.1%
4-1
<0%
+3
0.1%
2-0
0.5%
3-1
0.2%
4-2
<0%
+2
0.7%
1-0
2.4%
2-1
1.3%
3-2
0.2%
4-3
<0%
+1
3.9%
13.3%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
5.9%
2-2
1.6%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
13.3%
81.9%
Win probability
2.45
Expected goals
0-1
13.7%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.1%
-1
22.4%
0-2
16.8%
1-3
5.9%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
23.6%
0-3
13.7%
1-4
3.6%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
17.8%
0-4
8.4%
1-5
1.8%
2-6
0.2%
-4
10.3%
0-5
4.1%
1-6
0.7%
2-7
0.1%
-5
4.9%
0-6
1.7%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0%
-6
2%
0-7
0.6%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.7%
0-8
0.2%
1-9
0%
-8
0.2%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lorient
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Dec. 2002 |
LOR
1 - 0
VAL
62%
22%
16%
|
77 | 68 | 9 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 2002 |
AMI
0 - 2
LOR
30%
26%
44%
|
77 | 69 | 8 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2002 |
LOR
0 - 2
GRE
63%
22%
15%
|
77 | 69 | 8 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2002 |
FCG
1 - 0
LOR
26%
26%
48%
|
78 | 67 | 11 | -1 |
| 10 Nov. 2002 |
LOR
2 - 1
STL
65%
21%
14%
|
78 | 67 | 11 | 0 |