Montehermoso vs Trujillo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
55%
Win probability
1.89
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.9%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.1%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.8%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.2%
22.4%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.4%
22.6%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
14%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.1%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+45%
-54%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Montehermoso
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Nov. 2008 |
ZUR
1 - 1
MON
15%
21%
64%
|
22 | 11 | 11 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2008 |
MON
0 - 0
CAC
45%
24%
31%
|
23 | 24 | 1 | -1 |
| 02 Nov. 2008 |
MON
2 - 0
AMA
35%
25%
40%
|
21 | 27 | 6 | +2 |
| 26 Oct. 2008 |
CHI
1 - 2
MON
22%
23%
55%
|
21 | 13 | 8 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2008 |
MON
2 - 0
BRO
80%
14%
7%
|
21 | 11 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Trujillo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Nov. 2008 |
TRU
0 - 2
CHI
76%
15%
9%
|
21 | 12 | 9 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2008 |
BRO
0 - 6
TRU
18%
22%
60%
|
21 | 11 | 10 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2008 |
TRU
1 - 1
ARR
50%
23%
28%
|
21 | 20 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2008 |
HER
1 - 1
TRU
51%
24%
26%
|
21 | 22 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2008 |
TRU
3 - 3
COR
31%
23%
46%
|
21 | 25 | 4 | 0 |