Montehermoso vs Moralo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
12.1%
Win probability
0.62
Expected goals
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.5%
2-0
1.7%
3-1
0.6%
4-2
0.1%
+2
2.4%
1-0
5.5%
2-1
3.1%
3-2
0.6%
4-3
0.1%
+1
9.1%
21.8%
Draw
0-0
8.8%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
21.8%
66.1%
Win probability
1.81
Expected goals
0-1
15.9%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
-1
26.7%
0-2
14.4%
1-3
5.4%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
20.6%
0-3
8.7%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
11.4%
0-4
3.9%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
-4
4.9%
0-5
1.4%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.7%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+16%
-2%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
31
9º
14º
12º
54
3º
13º
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
3º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
64 | 64 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
62 | 62 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
54 | 55 |
3º
|
72% | |
|
4º
|
53 | 54 |
4º
|
72% | |
|
5º
|
48 | 51 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
46 | 46 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
44 | 44 |
7º
|
72% | |
|
8º
|
42 | 43 |
8º
|
72% | |
|
9º
|
39 | 40 |
9º
|
81.5% | |
|
10º
|
38 | 38 |
10º
|
81.5% | |
|
11º
|
32 | 32 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
|
12º
|
31 | 31 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
26 | 27 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
24 | 25 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
24 | 24 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
21 | 21 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Montehermoso
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Aug. 2022 |
MON
0 - 0
TRU
17%
24%
60%
|
18 | 26 | 8 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2022 |
TRU
1 - 0
MON
63%
22%
15%
|
18 | 25 | 7 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2022 |
PLA
0 - 2
MON
50%
26%
24%
|
17 | 19 | 2 | +1 |
| 07 Aug. 2022 |
MON
0 - 0
PLA
27%
28%
45%
|
17 | 21 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Jun. 2022 |
MON
1 - 1
UDF
26%
25%
50%
|
17 | 20 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Moralo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Aug. 2022 |
MOR
1 - 0
CPC
17%
25%
58%
|
32 | 47 | 15 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2022 |
MOR
2 - 2
TAL
10%
21%
69%
|
31 | 53 | 22 | +1 |
| 08 May. 2022 |
MOR
0 - 1
ADL
55%
23%
21%
|
33 | 25 | 8 | -2 |
| 30 Apr. 2022 |
MOR
3 - 0
ARR
59%
24%
18%
|
32 | 26 | 6 | +1 |
| 24 Apr. 2022 |
MOR
0 - 1
ADL
57%
23%
20%
|
33 | 25 | 8 | -1 |