Montehermoso vs Gimnástico Don Benito analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
61.5%
Win probability
2.02
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.1%
3-0
6.9%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.8%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
10%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.9%
20.9%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
20.9%
17.6%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
11.6%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.4%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+45%
-39%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Montehermoso
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Apr. 2009 |
MOR
1 - 2
MON
22%
23%
55%
|
25 | 12 | 13 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2009 |
MON
1 - 0
SAM
76%
15%
8%
|
25 | 14 | 11 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2009 |
TRU
0 - 2
MON
34%
25%
41%
|
24 | 19 | 5 | +1 |
| 05 Apr. 2009 |
MON
3 - 0
ZUR
74%
16%
10%
|
24 | 14 | 10 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2009 |
CAC
2 - 2
MON
52%
23%
24%
|
24 | 26 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Gimnástico Don Benito
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Apr. 2009 |
GIM
1 - 1
CHI
58%
22%
20%
|
21 | 17 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2009 |
BRO
1 - 1
GIM
13%
21%
67%
|
21 | 7 | 14 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2009 |
GIM
4 - 1
ARR
32%
25%
44%
|
20 | 23 | 3 | +1 |
| 05 Apr. 2009 |
HER
1 - 1
GIM
49%
24%
27%
|
20 | 20 | 0 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2009 |
GIM
2 - 2
COR
19%
21%
60%
|
20 | 27 | 7 | 0 |