Montehermoso vs Arroyo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
40.2%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2%
3-0
3%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.5%
2-0
5.6%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12%
1-0
6.9%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.9%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.5%
36.2%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.8%
0-2
5%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
10.7%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4.6%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+35%
-72%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Montehermoso
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Oct. 2009 |
UCL
1 - 2
MON
40%
25%
35%
|
22 | 22 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2009 |
MON
0 - 2
OLI
47%
25%
28%
|
23 | 25 | 2 | -1 |
| 20 Sep. 2009 |
SPO
6 - 1
MON
49%
25%
27%
|
24 | 27 | 3 | -1 |
| 13 Sep. 2009 |
MON
2 - 0
DPC
36%
25%
40%
|
23 | 28 | 5 | +1 |
| 06 Sep. 2009 |
CDB
6 - 0
MON
68%
19%
13%
|
23 | 33 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Arroyo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Oct. 2009 |
OLI
4 - 1
ARR
43%
25%
32%
|
25 | 25 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2009 |
ARR
4 - 0
DPC
47%
23%
30%
|
23 | 27 | 4 | +2 |
| 20 Sep. 2009 |
UDS
2 - 4
ARR
50%
23%
28%
|
22 | 25 | 3 | +1 |
| 13 Sep. 2009 |
ARR
3 - 1
MIA
45%
24%
31%
|
21 | 25 | 4 | +1 |
| 06 Sep. 2009 |
VAL
1 - 1
ARR
63%
20%
16%
|
21 | 28 | 7 | 0 |