Montehermoso vs Arroyo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
57.6%
Win probability
2
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.7%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.5%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.5%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.1%
21.4%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.4%
21%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
13%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.6%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+45%
-64%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Montehermoso
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Feb. 2009 |
HER
0 - 0
MON
36%
25%
39%
|
25 | 21 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2009 |
MON
1 - 0
COR
38%
23%
39%
|
24 | 26 | 2 | +1 |
| 08 Feb. 2009 |
CIU
0 - 2
MON
17%
22%
62%
|
24 | 11 | 13 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2009 |
MON
4 - 0
SAG
63%
20%
17%
|
24 | 19 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2009 |
GAR
0 - 2
MON
26%
24%
50%
|
23 | 15 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
Arroyo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Feb. 2009 |
ARR
4 - 1
CHI
68%
18%
14%
|
20 | 16 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2009 |
BRO
0 - 4
ARR
11%
19%
71%
|
20 | 7 | 13 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2009 |
AMA
1 - 0
ARR
49%
26%
26%
|
21 | 24 | 3 | -1 |
| 01 Feb. 2009 |
ARR
2 - 0
HER
44%
24%
32%
|
20 | 23 | 3 | +1 |
| 25 Jan. 2009 |
COR
1 - 0
ARR
71%
17%
12%
|
20 | 25 | 5 | 0 |