Montehermoso vs Arroyo Cp B analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
13.9%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.7%
2-0
1.9%
3-1
1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.2%
1-0
4.8%
2-1
3.9%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
5-4
<0%
+1
9.8%
20.3%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.2%
65.8%
Win probability
2.02
Expected goals
0-1
12%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.8%
0-2
12.1%
1-3
6.6%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
20.2%
0-3
8.2%
1-4
3.3%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
12.1%
0-4
4.1%
1-5
1.3%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
5.7%
0-5
1.7%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.2%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Montehermoso
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Oct. 2014 |
CDD
6 - 3
MON
85%
10%
4%
|
10 | 26 | 16 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2014 |
MON
0 - 3
CAL
7%
17%
76%
|
10 | 31 | 21 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2014 |
CHI
0 - 0
MON
65%
20%
15%
|
10 | 14 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2014 |
MON
1 - 2
AMA
30%
25%
45%
|
11 | 14 | 3 | -1 |
| 21 Sep. 2014 |
CDC
2 - 2
MON
62%
19%
19%
|
10 | 13 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Arroyo Cp B
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Oct. 2014 |
ARR
1 - 1
TAL
34%
23%
43%
|
19 | 20 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2014 |
MOR
1 - 1
ARR
25%
23%
52%
|
19 | 13 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2014 |
ARR
1 - 2
MAL
50%
23%
27%
|
19 | 19 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2014 |
CPC
1 - 0
ARR
69%
18%
14%
|
20 | 25 | 5 | -1 |
| 21 Sep. 2014 |
ARR
3 - 0
TRU
69%
17%
13%
|
19 | 13 | 6 | +1 |