Montego Bay United vs Dunbeholden analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
40.1%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.9%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.8%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.3%
25.8%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.8%
34%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
0-1
8.7%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
19.3%
0-2
5.6%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.7%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.6%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
-25%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
75
1º
6º
3º
37
7º
14º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
10º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
93 | 93 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
76 | 76 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
75 | 75 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
69 | 69 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
66 | 66 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
58 | 58 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
58 | 58 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
51 | 51 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
37 | 37 |
9º
|
0% | |
|
|
10º
|
37 | 37 |
10º
|
0% | |
|
11º
|
36 | 36 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
35 | 35 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
33 | 33 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
23 | 23 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
0% | 0% |
|
Next round
|
100% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Montego Bay United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Oct. 2024 |
MON
0 - 0
POR
38%
27%
35%
|
65 | 70 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2024 |
LIO
0 - 0
MON
36%
28%
36%
|
65 | 63 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2024 |
MON
4 - 0
MOL
61%
22%
18%
|
65 | 57 | 8 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2024 |
MON
1 - 0
ARN
29%
25%
46%
|
64 | 72 | 8 | +1 |
| 01 Oct. 2024 |
CMF
0 - 1
MON
38%
27%
35%
|
64 | 55 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Dunbeholden
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Nov. 2024 |
DFC
2 - 0
CMF
64%
20%
16%
|
67 | 54 | 13 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2024 |
DFC
3 - 2
MPA
38%
26%
36%
|
67 | 72 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2024 |
DFC
1 - 0
HAR
61%
22%
17%
|
67 | 62 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2024 |
VER
3 - 0
DFC
19%
25%
56%
|
68 | 56 | 12 | -1 |
| 07 Oct. 2024 |
CAV
4 - 1
DFC
47%
27%
26%
|
69 | 72 | 3 | -1 |