Montego Bay United vs Cavalier analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
16.2%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.8%
2-0
2.4%
3-1
1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.6%
1-0
6.5%
2-1
4.1%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
+1
11.6%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
8.6%
1-1
11%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
23.7%
60.2%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
0-1
14.7%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
26.2%
0-2
12.5%
1-3
5.3%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
18.7%
0-3
7.1%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
9.6%
0-4
3%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.9%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.3%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
+2%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
43
6º
12º
7º
54
1º
7º
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
2º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
59 | 59 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
54 | 54 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
51 | 51 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
49 | 49 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
49 | 49 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
40 | 43 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
|
6º
|
43 | 43 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
37 | 37 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
27 | 27 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
25 | 25 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
23 | 23 |
11º
|
85% | |
|
12º
|
22 | 22 |
12º
|
85% | |
|
13º
|
13 | 13 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
7 | 7 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
0% | 100% |
|
Next round
|
100% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Montego Bay United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Oct. 2023 |
WAT
3 - 0
MON
68%
21%
11%
|
56 | 68 | 12 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2023 |
LIM
0 - 0
MON
10%
19%
71%
|
55 | 9 | 46 | +1 |
| 07 May. 2023 |
MON
1 - 2
CAV
17%
24%
59%
|
56 | 72 | 16 | -1 |
| 30 Apr. 2023 |
TRI
5 - 2
MON
55%
25%
20%
|
57 | 61 | 4 | -1 |
| 24 Apr. 2023 |
MON
0 - 1
HAR
24%
27%
49%
|
57 | 69 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Cavalier
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jun. 2023 |
MPA
2 - 1
CAV
44%
27%
29%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 Jun. 2023 |
CAV
2 - 0
HAR
54%
26%
20%
|
72 | 67 | 5 | 0 |
| 30 May. 2023 |
HAR
0 - 1
CAV
33%
28%
39%
|
72 | 68 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2023 |
MON
1 - 2
CAV
17%
24%
59%
|
72 | 56 | 16 | 0 |
| 02 May. 2023 |
CAV
4 - 2
MOL
54%
26%
20%
|
72 | 59 | 13 | 0 |