Montegiorgio vs Santarcangelo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
17.7%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.4%
2-0
2.2%
3-1
1.7%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
4.5%
1-0
4.2%
2-1
4.9%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
11.3%
19.8%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19.8%
62.5%
Win probability
2.18
Expected goals
0-1
8.4%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.8%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23%
0-2
9.2%
1-3
7.2%
2-4
2.1%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
18.8%
0-3
6.7%
1-4
3.9%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.1%
-3
11.6%
0-4
3.6%
1-5
1.7%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
5.7%
0-5
1.6%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.3%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.8%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Montegiorgio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Oct. 2018 |
REC
3 - 1
MON
62%
19%
19%
|
27 | 32 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2018 |
MON
1 - 2
SAN
45%
22%
33%
|
28 | 31 | 3 | -1 |
| 07 Oct. 2018 |
FOR
0 - 1
MON
77%
14%
9%
|
27 | 40 | 13 | +1 |
| 30 Sep. 2018 |
MON
1 - 3
MAT
22%
22%
57%
|
28 | 42 | 14 | -1 |
| 26 Sep. 2018 |
FRA
2 - 1
MON
65%
18%
17%
|
28 | 34 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Santarcangelo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Oct. 2018 |
SAN
0 - 4
CES
10%
22%
69%
|
43 | 67 | 24 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2018 |
PIN
1 - 2
SAN
30%
27%
43%
|
42 | 37 | 5 | +1 |
| 07 Oct. 2018 |
SAN
2 - 1
ASD
77%
15%
9%
|
42 | 28 | 14 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2018 |
ISE
1 - 1
SAN
12%
20%
67%
|
43 | 22 | 21 | -1 |
| 26 Sep. 2018 |
SAN
2 - 1
CAM
74%
17%
10%
|
42 | 29 | 13 | +1 |