Montegiorgio vs Recanatese analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
18.1%
Win probability
0.72
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.9%
2-0
2.9%
3-1
1%
4-2
0.1%
+2
4%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
4.2%
3-2
0.8%
4-3
0.1%
+1
13%
26.3%
Draw
0-0
11%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
26.3%
55.6%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
0-1
16.3%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
26.8%
0-2
12.2%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0%
-2
17.1%
0-3
6%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
7.8%
0-4
2.2%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0%
-4
2.8%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Montegiorgio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Feb. 2022 |
PIN
1 - 1
MON
58%
23%
19%
|
35 | 42 | 7 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2022 |
MON
2 - 0
AAC
81%
14%
5%
|
35 | 11 | 24 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2022 |
UST
0 - 3
MON
62%
20%
18%
|
33 | 38 | 5 | +2 |
| 19 Jan. 2022 |
ASD
1 - 1
MON
64%
21%
16%
|
33 | 41 | 8 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 2021 |
MON
1 - 2
CAS
34%
24%
42%
|
34 | 34 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
Recanatese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Feb. 2022 |
SCA
2 - 2
REC
25%
26%
50%
|
47 | 34 | 13 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2022 |
REC
0 - 1
SSS
66%
19%
15%
|
47 | 40 | 7 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2022 |
UST
0 - 0
REC
24%
26%
51%
|
48 | 37 | 11 | -1 |
| 23 Jan. 2022 |
CHI
1 - 0
REC
9%
21%
70%
|
49 | 23 | 26 | -1 |
| 22 Dec. 2021 |
REC
3 - 0
SAN
68%
19%
13%
|
49 | 42 | 7 | 0 |