Montegiorgio vs Recanatese analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
37.2%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.5%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.6%
2-0
5.6%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.9%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.6%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.5%
38.3%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
0-1
7.8%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.9%
0-2
5.8%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
11.3%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.8%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Montegiorgio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Feb. 2021 |
MON
3 - 0
OLY
69%
18%
13%
|
35 | 24 | 11 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2021 |
MON
1 - 2
GIU
70%
18%
12%
|
35 | 24 | 11 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2021 |
APR
2 - 1
MON
38%
23%
39%
|
36 | 32 | 4 | -1 |
| 06 Jan. 2021 |
UST
3 - 4
MON
55%
21%
24%
|
35 | 37 | 2 | +1 |
| 20 Dec. 2020 |
ASD
2 - 4
MON
58%
21%
21%
|
34 | 37 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Recanatese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Feb. 2021 |
ASD
2 - 0
REC
45%
25%
31%
|
40 | 37 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2021 |
REC
2 - 0
SFF
62%
20%
18%
|
39 | 34 | 5 | +1 |
| 07 Feb. 2021 |
REC
2 - 2
VAS
54%
20%
26%
|
39 | 37 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2021 |
SAN
2 - 1
REC
48%
26%
26%
|
40 | 40 | 0 | -1 |
| 27 Jan. 2021 |
OLY
0 - 4
REC
28%
26%
47%
|
39 | 30 | 9 | +1 |