Montegiorgio vs Recanatese analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
43.7%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.3%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.2%
2-0
6.5%
3-1
5%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.1%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
9%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.1%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
11%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.9%
32.5%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.8%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
9.4%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.7%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Montegiorgio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jan. 2020 |
MAT
3 - 2
MON
76%
16%
9%
|
36 | 46 | 10 | 0 |
| 05 Jan. 2020 |
MON
0 - 1
OLY
58%
21%
21%
|
36 | 32 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 2019 |
MON
1 - 1
ASD
48%
22%
30%
|
37 | 34 | 3 | -1 |
| 15 Dec. 2019 |
SEL
1 - 2
MON
20%
21%
59%
|
36 | 22 | 14 | +1 |
| 07 Dec. 2019 |
MON
1 - 1
UST
62%
20%
19%
|
36 | 29 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Recanatese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jan. 2020 |
OLY
2 - 1
REC
37%
26%
37%
|
37 | 33 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Jan. 2020 |
REC
3 - 2
JES
74%
16%
11%
|
37 | 27 | 10 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 2019 |
REC
1 - 2
MAT
33%
27%
41%
|
38 | 46 | 8 | -1 |
| 15 Dec. 2019 |
VAS
2 - 2
REC
37%
24%
40%
|
38 | 31 | 7 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2019 |
REC
4 - 3
SEL
82%
12%
7%
|
38 | 23 | 15 | 0 |