Montegiorgio vs Matelica Calcio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
21.6%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.4%
2-0
3.5%
3-1
1.5%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.2%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
5.2%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
14.6%
26.3%
Draw
0-0
9.6%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
26.3%
52.2%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
0-1
14.3%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25.5%
0-2
10.6%
1-3
4.5%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
15.9%
0-3
5.3%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
7.2%
0-4
2%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.5%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Montegiorgio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Sep. 2019 |
OLY
0 - 1
MON
44%
24%
33%
|
32 | 31 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2019 |
REC
2 - 3
MON
60%
21%
20%
|
31 | 39 | 8 | +1 |
| 05 May. 2019 |
CAS
2 - 3
MON
24%
23%
53%
|
30 | 22 | 8 | +1 |
| 28 Apr. 2019 |
MON
2 - 2
OLY
46%
23%
30%
|
30 | 33 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2019 |
GIU
1 - 0
MON
34%
24%
41%
|
32 | 27 | 5 | -2 |
Matches
Matelica Calcio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Sep. 2019 |
MAT
3 - 1
CAT
92%
6%
2%
|
47 | 19 | 28 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2019 |
PRO
1 - 0
MAT
54%
25%
21%
|
48 | 50 | 2 | -1 |
| 26 May. 2019 |
MAT
4 - 0
REC
66%
20%
13%
|
47 | 40 | 7 | +1 |
| 18 May. 2019 |
MES
0 - 1
MAT
34%
27%
39%
|
47 | 37 | 10 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2019 |
MAT
1 - 0
SAN
71%
17%
12%
|
46 | 35 | 11 | +1 |