Montegiorgio vs Forli analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
40.7%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.2%
3-0
3%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.8%
2-0
5.3%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.2%
1-0
6.2%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.6%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
6.9%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
22.9%
36.4%
Win probability
1.61
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
8%
2-3
3.7%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
18.5%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
10.8%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4.8%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Montegiorgio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jan. 2019 |
MAT
5 - 0
MON
77%
14%
9%
|
31 | 42 | 11 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 2019 |
MON
1 - 0
FRA
40%
24%
37%
|
30 | 36 | 6 | +1 |
| 12 Jan. 2019 |
AVE
0 - 1
MON
56%
21%
23%
|
29 | 33 | 4 | +1 |
| 06 Jan. 2019 |
MON
1 - 0
SAM
36%
24%
40%
|
27 | 36 | 9 | +2 |
| 23 Dec. 2018 |
MON
2 - 1
CAS
62%
20%
19%
|
27 | 25 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Forli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jan. 2019 |
FOR
1 - 2
CAM
57%
22%
21%
|
36 | 32 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 2019 |
PIN
1 - 2
FOR
58%
22%
21%
|
35 | 40 | 5 | +1 |
| 12 Jan. 2019 |
FOR
1 - 1
SAV
62%
20%
19%
|
35 | 29 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 2018 |
REC
4 - 1
FOR
47%
24%
29%
|
36 | 35 | 1 | -1 |
| 16 Dec. 2018 |
FOR
3 - 0
JES
66%
19%
14%
|
36 | 28 | 8 | 0 |