Montegiorgio vs Fano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
28.4%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.3%
2-0
4.9%
3-1
2.2%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
7.5%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
6.6%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.8%
27.3%
Draw
0-0
9.3%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.3%
44.3%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
0-1
12.6%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
23.5%
0-2
8.5%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13.2%
0-3
3.8%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.4%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Montegiorgio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Oct. 2021 |
NER
0 - 2
MON
21%
21%
58%
|
31 | 20 | 11 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2021 |
MON
2 - 1
POR
19%
21%
60%
|
29 | 38 | 9 | +2 |
| 17 Oct. 2021 |
TRA
3 - 0
MON
79%
14%
7%
|
30 | 47 | 17 | -1 |
| 10 Oct. 2021 |
MON
2 - 3
SFF
24%
25%
51%
|
31 | 38 | 7 | -1 |
| 03 Oct. 2021 |
REC
2 - 0
MON
70%
17%
13%
|
32 | 39 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Fano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Oct. 2021 |
FAN
1 - 2
SAN
36%
28%
35%
|
40 | 41 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2021 |
SSS
1 - 0
FAN
55%
25%
20%
|
41 | 44 | 3 | -1 |
| 17 Oct. 2021 |
FAN
0 - 1
MAT
47%
27%
27%
|
42 | 39 | 3 | -1 |
| 10 Oct. 2021 |
CHI
1 - 1
FAN
17%
24%
59%
|
43 | 23 | 20 | -1 |
| 06 Oct. 2021 |
CAS
2 - 1
FAN
40%
26%
34%
|
44 | 38 | 6 | -1 |