Montegiorgio vs Vastese analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
61.7%
Win probability
2.28
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.5%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
5.9%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.6%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
18.3%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
4.4%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22.2%
19.4%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
19.4%
18.9%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
5%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
11.6%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
5.1%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Montegiorgio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Mar. 2019 |
ISE
1 - 0
MON
26%
23%
51%
|
33 | 25 | 8 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2019 |
MON
3 - 2
CAM
44%
23%
33%
|
32 | 33 | 1 | +1 |
| 24 Feb. 2019 |
JES
0 - 0
MON
41%
24%
35%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2019 |
MON
0 - 1
SAV
52%
22%
27%
|
33 | 31 | 2 | -1 |
| 13 Feb. 2019 |
SAN
0 - 1
MON
44%
23%
34%
|
32 | 30 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Vastese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Mar. 2019 |
CAM
3 - 0
ASD
52%
24%
24%
|
28 | 33 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2019 |
ASD
0 - 1
PIN
23%
23%
54%
|
29 | 39 | 10 | -1 |
| 24 Feb. 2019 |
SAV
3 - 0
ASD
52%
22%
26%
|
30 | 33 | 3 | -1 |
| 17 Feb. 2019 |
ASD
3 - 2
ISE
54%
23%
23%
|
29 | 27 | 2 | +1 |
| 13 Feb. 2019 |
REC
1 - 1
ASD
64%
19%
16%
|
29 | 36 | 7 | 0 |