Montegiorgio vs Tolentino analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
61.7%
Win probability
2.2
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.3%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.6%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.4%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.5%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.7%
19.8%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19.8%
18.5%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
5%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
11.6%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
4.9%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Montegiorgio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Dec. 2019 |
PIN
1 - 4
MON
53%
23%
24%
|
35 | 39 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2019 |
MON
0 - 0
SAN
37%
24%
39%
|
34 | 38 | 4 | +1 |
| 17 Nov. 2019 |
AVE
1 - 1
MON
34%
24%
42%
|
34 | 30 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2019 |
MON
2 - 0
VAS
41%
22%
37%
|
33 | 34 | 1 | +1 |
| 03 Nov. 2019 |
JES
1 - 2
MON
27%
24%
49%
|
33 | 26 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Tolentino
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Dec. 2019 |
UST
1 - 1
CAT
84%
10%
6%
|
29 | 18 | 11 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2019 |
MAT
1 - 0
UST
82%
11%
7%
|
29 | 44 | 15 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2019 |
UST
1 - 2
OLY
52%
22%
27%
|
30 | 31 | 1 | -1 |
| 13 Nov. 2019 |
UST
4 - 2
MEZ
40%
23%
37%
|
29 | 33 | 4 | +1 |
| 10 Nov. 2019 |
ASD
4 - 0
UST
50%
22%
28%
|
30 | 31 | 1 | -1 |