Montecchio Maggiore vs Union Quinto analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
20.5%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.5%
2-0
3.1%
3-1
1.7%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.2%
1-0
6.5%
2-1
5.4%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.5%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.6%
55.9%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
0-1
11.8%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.6%
0-2
10.2%
1-3
5.7%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
-2
17.2%
0-3
5.9%
1-4
2.5%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
8.8%
0-4
2.6%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.6%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Montecchio Maggiore
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Sep. 2009 |
CON
0 - 0
MON
66%
19%
15%
|
20 | 25 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 Jun. 2009 |
TRE
1 - 3
MON
65%
20%
15%
|
18 | 26 | 8 | +2 |
| 31 May. 2009 |
MON
1 - 1
TRE
28%
25%
47%
|
18 | 26 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Union Quinto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Sep. 2009 |
UNI
1 - 1
VIL
75%
16%
9%
|
36 | 18 | 18 | 0 |
| 31 May. 2009 |
UNI
1 - 2
ACS
51%
24%
25%
|
37 | 35 | 2 | -1 |
| 27 May. 2009 |
DMG
0 - 2
UNI
42%
26%
32%
|
36 | 34 | 2 | +1 |
| 17 May. 2009 |
UNI
3 - 4
SAN
64%
21%
16%
|
36 | 26 | 10 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2009 |
MON
1 - 2
UNI
27%
26%
48%
|
36 | 25 | 11 | 0 |