AD Lorqui vs Villa de Fortuna analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
32.5%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.7%
2-0
4.7%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.4%
1-0
6.9%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
17.9%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.1%
43.4%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
0-1
8.1%
1-2
9%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.2%
0-2
6.6%
1-3
4.9%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
13%
0-3
3.6%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
6%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.2%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+23%
-49%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AD Lorqui
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Apr. 2018 |
LOR
2 - 1
JUM
80%
13%
8%
|
16 | 10 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2018 |
PAL
1 - 2
LOR
30%
24%
47%
|
16 | 12 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2018 |
LOR
1 - 0
MSM
47%
24%
30%
|
15 | 16 | 1 | +1 |
| 25 Mar. 2018 |
CDB
0 - 0
LOR
69%
18%
13%
|
15 | 20 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2018 |
LOR
2 - 0
CAR
56%
21%
23%
|
14 | 13 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Villa de Fortuna
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Apr. 2018 |
VIL
2 - 0
ADP
91%
7%
3%
|
19 | 10 | 9 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2018 |
JUM
1 - 2
VIL
10%
15%
75%
|
19 | 11 | 8 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2018 |
VIL
3 - 0
JAV
93%
6%
2%
|
19 | 8 | 11 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2018 |
PAL
2 - 4
VIL
16%
18%
66%
|
19 | 12 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2018 |
VIL
1 - 1
RAA
80%
12%
7%
|
19 | 14 | 5 | 0 |