AD Lorqui vs Bala Azul analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
16.8%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.3%
2-0
2.1%
3-1
1.6%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
4.3%
1-0
4%
2-1
4.7%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
10.9%
19.4%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19.4%
63.7%
Win probability
2.21
Expected goals
0-1
8.5%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
3.8%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.9%
0-2
9.4%
1-3
7.3%
2-4
2.1%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
19.1%
0-3
6.9%
1-4
4%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.1%
-3
12%
0-4
3.8%
1-5
1.8%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
6%
0-5
1.7%
1-6
0.7%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
2.5%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.9%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+31%
+65%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AD Lorqui
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Oct. 2013 |
JUM
1 - 1
LOR
23%
21%
55%
|
14 | 10 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2013 |
LOR
0 - 3
ALC
48%
22%
30%
|
15 | 16 | 1 | -1 |
| 05 Oct. 2013 |
EFA
1 - 0
LOR
72%
16%
12%
|
16 | 23 | 7 | -1 |
| 27 Sep. 2013 |
LOR
1 - 0
UDL
35%
23%
42%
|
14 | 18 | 4 | +2 |
| 22 Sep. 2013 |
SPO
1 - 0
LOR
64%
19%
17%
|
15 | 21 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Bala Azul
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Oct. 2013 |
BAL
4 - 0
CIE
80%
14%
6%
|
22 | 12 | 10 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2013 |
BAL
2 - 1
BAL
21%
21%
57%
|
23 | 16 | 7 | -1 |
| 06 Oct. 2013 |
JUM
1 - 2
BAL
12%
17%
71%
|
22 | 12 | 10 | +1 |
| 29 Sep. 2013 |
BAL
2 - 0
ALC
72%
17%
12%
|
22 | 14 | 8 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2013 |
EFA
4 - 1
BAL
39%
23%
38%
|
24 | 21 | 3 | -2 |