Montecasillas Fc vs FC Cartagena B analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
15.7%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.9%
2-0
2.2%
3-1
1.2%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.7%
1-0
5.1%
2-1
4.3%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
10.8%
21.1%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
10%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.1%
63.2%
Win probability
1.96
Expected goals
0-1
11.8%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.8%
0-2
11.5%
1-3
6.4%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
19.4%
0-3
7.5%
1-4
3.1%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
11.2%
0-4
3.7%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
5.1%
0-5
1.4%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
1.9%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Montecasillas Fc
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Apr. 2013 |
PIN
3 - 0
MON
79%
14%
7%
|
12 | 29 | 17 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2013 |
MON
1 - 6
CAR
16%
20%
64%
|
13 | 24 | 11 | -1 |
| 14 Apr. 2013 |
SPO
2 - 1
MON
72%
16%
11%
|
13 | 21 | 8 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2013 |
MON
1 - 2
BAL
36%
24%
41%
|
14 | 17 | 3 | -1 |
| 17 Mar. 2013 |
EFA
3 - 1
MON
75%
15%
10%
|
15 | 22 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
FC Cartagena B
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Apr. 2013 |
CAR
3 - 0
CIU
71%
17%
12%
|
25 | 18 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2013 |
ADM
0 - 7
CAR
13%
21%
66%
|
25 | 10 | 15 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2013 |
CAR
3 - 0
UDL
74%
16%
10%
|
25 | 16 | 9 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2013 |
MUL
1 - 1
CAR
50%
23%
27%
|
25 | 24 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2013 |
CAR
3 - 1
CDL
84%
11%
5%
|
25 | 7 | 18 | 0 |