Montecasillas Fc vs Caravaca analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
15.8%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1%
2-0
2.1%
3-1
1.4%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.9%
1-0
4.4%
2-1
4.4%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
10.6%
19.9%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
19.9%
64.3%
Win probability
2.11
Expected goals
0-1
10%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.8%
0-2
10.5%
1-3
7%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
19.5%
0-3
7.4%
1-4
3.7%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
11.9%
0-4
3.9%
1-5
1.6%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
5.7%
0-5
1.7%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.3%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.8%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Montecasillas Fc
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Apr. 2013 |
SPO
2 - 1
MON
72%
16%
11%
|
13 | 21 | 8 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2013 |
MON
1 - 2
BAL
36%
24%
41%
|
14 | 17 | 3 | -1 |
| 17 Mar. 2013 |
EFA
3 - 1
MON
75%
15%
10%
|
15 | 22 | 7 | -1 |
| 10 Mar. 2013 |
MON
1 - 0
EDC
69%
17%
14%
|
14 | 10 | 4 | +1 |
| 28 Feb. 2013 |
ADG
1 - 3
MON
45%
23%
32%
|
13 | 13 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
Caravaca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Apr. 2013 |
CAR
2 - 1
CIU
68%
18%
14%
|
23 | 18 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2013 |
ADM
2 - 3
CAR
11%
18%
71%
|
23 | 11 | 12 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2013 |
CAR
2 - 1
UDL
76%
15%
9%
|
23 | 16 | 7 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2013 |
MUL
4 - 0
CAR
46%
23%
32%
|
25 | 24 | 1 | -2 |
| 03 Mar. 2013 |
CAR
4 - 0
CDL
86%
10%
4%
|
24 | 9 | 15 | +1 |