Montecasillas Fc vs Alcantarilla Thader analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
73.3%
Win probability
2.5
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.6%
5-0
2.8%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4%
4-0
5.7%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.6%
3-0
9.1%
4-1
4.8%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.1%
2-0
11%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.1%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.1%
16%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
7.5%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
16%
10.7%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
0-1
3%
1-2
3.2%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
7.5%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.4%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Montecasillas Fc
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Sep. 2012 |
CIU
1 - 2
MON
72%
17%
12%
|
13 | 19 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2012 |
MON
2 - 2
ADM
70%
17%
13%
|
13 | 9 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2012 |
UDL
0 - 3
MON
34%
24%
43%
|
12 | 9 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Alcantarilla Thader
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Sep. 2012 |
ALC
2 - 3
CAR
11%
18%
71%
|
10 | 23 | 13 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2012 |
CIU
4 - 1
ALC
81%
13%
6%
|
10 | 18 | 8 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2012 |
ALC
1 - 5
SPO
28%
24%
49%
|
10 | 14 | 4 | 0 |