Montecasillas Fc vs Ad Guadalupe analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
36.3%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.6%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
4.6%
2-0
5%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.7%
1-0
6.5%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18.8%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.5%
40.1%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.9%
0-2
5.6%
1-3
4.7%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
12%
0-3
3%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
5.5%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Montecasillas Fc
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Oct. 2012 |
CFS
3 - 1
MON
54%
21%
25%
|
16 | 16 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2012 |
MON
0 - 6
LAU
16%
21%
63%
|
16 | 29 | 13 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2012 |
MON
4 - 2
ALC
73%
16%
11%
|
15 | 9 | 6 | +1 |
| 23 Sep. 2012 |
CIU
1 - 2
MON
72%
17%
12%
|
13 | 19 | 6 | +2 |
| 15 Sep. 2012 |
MON
2 - 2
ADM
70%
17%
13%
|
13 | 9 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Ad Guadalupe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Oct. 2012 |
ADG
1 - 2
CIU
38%
24%
38%
|
18 | 20 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2012 |
ADM
2 - 4
ADG
14%
20%
66%
|
17 | 9 | 8 | +1 |
| 29 Sep. 2012 |
ADG
3 - 0
UDL
80%
13%
7%
|
16 | 7 | 9 | +1 |
| 21 Sep. 2012 |
MUL
0 - 3
ADG
67%
18%
15%
|
13 | 17 | 4 | +3 |
| 15 Sep. 2012 |
ADG
1 - 4
CDL
68%
18%
14%
|
15 | 11 | 4 | -2 |