Montecarlo vs Zaragoza 2014 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
51%
Win probability
1.83
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.3%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.1%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.5%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.5%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.9%
26.1%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
15.4%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
7.2%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Montecarlo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Sep. 2021 |
PEN
2 - 3
UDM
61%
20%
19%
|
11 | 14 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Jul. 2021 |
RSD
6 - 1
UDM
23%
23%
54%
|
13 | 9 | 4 | -2 |
| 27 Jun. 2021 |
UDM
1 - 4
MAL
57%
21%
22%
|
14 | 13 | 1 | -1 |
| 20 Jun. 2021 |
UDM
1 - 3
UDS
24%
23%
53%
|
15 | 20 | 5 | -1 |
| 13 Jun. 2021 |
CFV
1 - 1
UDM
57%
22%
22%
|
15 | 18 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Zaragoza 2014
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Sep. 2021 |
ZAR
0 - 2
FRA
11%
19%
70%
|
12 | 27 | 15 | 0 |
| 04 Jul. 2021 |
ZAR
5 - 3
HER
30%
23%
47%
|
11 | 14 | 3 | +1 |
| 20 Jun. 2021 |
CDM
2 - 1
ZAR
56%
22%
22%
|
11 | 13 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Jun. 2021 |
ZAR
0 - 2
UDC
29%
24%
47%
|
12 | 16 | 4 | -1 |
| 06 Jun. 2021 |
CDC
2 - 0
ZAR
57%
21%
22%
|
13 | 13 | 0 | -1 |