Montecarlo vs Zaragoza 2014 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
50.8%
Win probability
1.86
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.4%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.1%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.4%
1-0
8%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.2%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.7%
26.5%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
15.4%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
7.4%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Montecarlo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Nov. 2017 |
UDM
3 - 0
UDC
32%
24%
44%
|
17 | 20 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2017 |
CFV
0 - 1
UDM
63%
21%
17%
|
16 | 20 | 4 | +1 |
| 29 Oct. 2017 |
UDM
3 - 3
BIE
36%
26%
38%
|
16 | 19 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2017 |
PEN
1 - 1
UDM
37%
25%
38%
|
16 | 15 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2017 |
UDM
0 - 0
SAN
70%
18%
12%
|
17 | 12 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Zaragoza 2014
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Nov. 2017 |
ZAR
3 - 2
CFV
41%
25%
34%
|
17 | 20 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2017 |
BIE
1 - 3
ZAR
65%
19%
16%
|
15 | 19 | 4 | +2 |
| 29 Oct. 2017 |
ZAR
2 - 2
PEN
49%
23%
28%
|
15 | 16 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2017 |
SAN
2 - 2
ZAR
31%
23%
47%
|
16 | 12 | 4 | -1 |
| 08 Oct. 2017 |
ZAR
3 - 0
BAR
22%
22%
56%
|
14 | 19 | 5 | +2 |