Montecarlo vs Villanueva CF analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
27.6%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.6%
2-0
4.1%
3-1
2.7%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.6%
1-0
6.9%
2-1
6.8%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.4%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.3%
48.1%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
0-1
9.6%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.8%
0-2
7.9%
1-3
5.2%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
14.6%
0-3
4.4%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
7%
0-4
1.8%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.6%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-19%
-39%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Montecarlo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jan. 2018 |
GAL
1 - 1
UDM
35%
25%
40%
|
18 | 16 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2018 |
UDM
1 - 1
MAL
46%
24%
30%
|
18 | 18 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2018 |
UDM
1 - 2
MAG
67%
19%
14%
|
18 | 15 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 2018 |
ALC
2 - 2
UDM
39%
24%
37%
|
18 | 16 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2017 |
UDM
2 - 0
PEN
53%
22%
25%
|
18 | 16 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Villanueva CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jan. 2018 |
VIL
3 - 1
CFV
62%
21%
17%
|
22 | 20 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2018 |
BIE
1 - 2
VIL
24%
24%
52%
|
21 | 16 | 5 | +1 |
| 14 Jan. 2018 |
PEN
3 - 3
VIL
20%
24%
56%
|
22 | 15 | 7 | -1 |
| 07 Jan. 2018 |
VIL
1 - 1
SAN
84%
11%
5%
|
22 | 11 | 11 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2017 |
BAR
0 - 1
VIL
38%
25%
37%
|
22 | 20 | 2 | 0 |