Montecarlo vs Valdefierro analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
30.4%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
1.9%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3%
2-0
4.8%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.5%
1-0
8%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.8%
25.4%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.4%
44.2%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
0-1
10%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
22.3%
0-2
7.5%
1-3
4.6%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13.3%
0-3
3.8%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.8%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
+81%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Montecarlo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Oct. 2018 |
FRA
4 - 1
UDM
68%
19%
14%
|
18 | 23 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2018 |
UDM
4 - 0
SFE
45%
24%
32%
|
18 | 17 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2018 |
QUI
0 - 0
UDM
59%
21%
20%
|
17 | 20 | 3 | +1 |
| 30 Sep. 2018 |
UDM
1 - 0
AND
37%
24%
39%
|
17 | 18 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2018 |
ACF
1 - 0
UDM
71%
17%
12%
|
17 | 22 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Valdefierro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Oct. 2018 |
CFV
0 - 0
CAS
51%
23%
27%
|
22 | 21 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2018 |
CDC
0 - 1
CFV
42%
24%
34%
|
21 | 19 | 2 | +1 |
| 07 Oct. 2018 |
CFV
1 - 0
MOR
76%
15%
9%
|
21 | 14 | 7 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2018 |
CEL
0 - 1
CFV
26%
25%
49%
|
21 | 16 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2018 |
CFV
6 - 0
BUJ
78%
14%
8%
|
20 | 12 | 8 | +1 |