Montecarlo vs SD Borja analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
43.2%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.7%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
13%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.7%
25%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25%
31.8%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
0-1
7.7%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
18.1%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
-10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Montecarlo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 May. 2025 |
UDM
2 - 2
HER
47%
23%
30%
|
21 | 20 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2025 |
SPO
2 - 3
UDM
20%
20%
60%
|
20 | 13 | 7 | +1 |
| 13 Apr. 2025 |
UDM
2 - 0
ATC
15%
20%
65%
|
18 | 29 | 11 | +2 |
| 06 Apr. 2025 |
MAL
3 - 1
UDM
48%
24%
29%
|
18 | 21 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2025 |
UDM
0 - 2
ICF
16%
21%
63%
|
19 | 31 | 12 | -1 |
Matches
SD Borja
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 May. 2025 |
SDB
3 - 0
ATL
63%
22%
16%
|
22 | 18 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2025 |
HER
2 - 0
SDB
39%
25%
36%
|
23 | 19 | 4 | -1 |
| 13 Apr. 2025 |
SDB
2 - 2
CEL
59%
22%
20%
|
23 | 18 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2025 |
SPO
0 - 4
SDB
28%
24%
48%
|
22 | 14 | 8 | +1 |
| 30 Mar. 2025 |
SDB
1 - 2
ACF
31%
26%
44%
|
23 | 28 | 5 | -1 |