Montecarlo vs Sta. Isabel analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
37.3%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.5%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.5%
2-0
5.8%
3-1
4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
11%
1-0
8%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.8%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.8%
37.9%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
0-1
8.1%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20%
0-2
5.9%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
11.1%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.7%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Montecarlo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Apr. 2012 |
PEN
1 - 1
UDM
28%
24%
48%
|
19 | 15 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2012 |
UDM
5 - 3
ZUE
37%
25%
38%
|
18 | 20 | 2 | +1 |
| 18 Mar. 2012 |
UDC
3 - 4
UDM
53%
23%
25%
|
18 | 18 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2012 |
UDM
1 - 2
UDP
66%
20%
14%
|
18 | 13 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2012 |
POM
1 - 1
UDM
43%
24%
33%
|
18 | 18 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Sta. Isabel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Apr. 2012 |
CDA
1 - 1
STA
54%
24%
22%
|
21 | 24 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2012 |
STA
3 - 2
PEN
71%
18%
12%
|
20 | 16 | 4 | +1 |
| 18 Mar. 2012 |
ZUE
1 - 0
STA
35%
26%
39%
|
21 | 19 | 2 | -1 |
| 11 Mar. 2012 |
STA
1 - 2
UDC
70%
18%
12%
|
21 | 17 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2012 |
UDP
2 - 1
STA
14%
20%
66%
|
22 | 11 | 11 | -1 |