Montecarlo vs San Fernando analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
44.5%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.3%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.3%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
5%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.4%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.5%
24%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24%
31.5%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.6%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
9%
0-3
2%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Montecarlo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Oct. 2018 |
QUI
0 - 0
UDM
59%
21%
20%
|
17 | 20 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2018 |
UDM
1 - 0
AND
37%
24%
39%
|
17 | 18 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2018 |
ACF
1 - 0
UDM
71%
17%
12%
|
17 | 22 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2018 |
UDM
2 - 0
ATC
25%
23%
52%
|
16 | 19 | 3 | +1 |
| 09 Sep. 2018 |
CDU
2 - 2
UDM
45%
25%
31%
|
16 | 16 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
San Fernando
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Oct. 2018 |
SFE
0 - 2
CAS
39%
24%
37%
|
18 | 19 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2018 |
CDC
1 - 2
SFE
63%
19%
18%
|
17 | 20 | 3 | +1 |
| 23 Sep. 2018 |
SFE
0 - 1
MOR
67%
19%
14%
|
18 | 14 | 4 | -1 |
| 16 Sep. 2018 |
CEL
1 - 2
SFE
34%
24%
42%
|
18 | 16 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2018 |
SFE
2 - 2
BUJ
72%
16%
12%
|
18 | 12 | 6 | 0 |