Montecarlo vs Quinto analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
35%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4%
2-0
5.4%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.1%
1-0
8%
2-1
8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.2%
25%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25%
40%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
0-1
8.6%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
20.8%
0-2
6.4%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
11.9%
0-3
3.1%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.1%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Montecarlo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Feb. 2019 |
AND
1 - 0
UDM
64%
20%
17%
|
19 | 20 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2019 |
UDM
2 - 3
ACF
27%
23%
50%
|
19 | 23 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2019 |
ATC
1 - 2
UDM
58%
22%
20%
|
18 | 20 | 2 | +1 |
| 03 Feb. 2019 |
UDM
3 - 1
CDU
30%
24%
47%
|
18 | 20 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2019 |
VAL
1 - 2
UDM
31%
24%
45%
|
17 | 13 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Quinto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Feb. 2019 |
QUI
1 - 1
CAS
46%
24%
30%
|
21 | 21 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2019 |
CDC
2 - 0
QUI
48%
24%
29%
|
22 | 21 | 1 | -1 |
| 10 Feb. 2019 |
QUI
3 - 0
MOR
83%
13%
5%
|
22 | 11 | 11 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2019 |
CEL
0 - 3
QUI
20%
24%
57%
|
21 | 15 | 6 | +1 |
| 27 Jan. 2019 |
QUI
3 - 0
BUJ
75%
16%
9%
|
21 | 12 | 9 | 0 |