Montecarlo vs Quinto analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
54.1%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.5%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.6%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.6%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.4%
22.5%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.2%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.9%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
-11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Montecarlo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Mar. 2016 |
TAU
0 - 5
UDM
11%
21%
69%
|
20 | 11 | 9 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2016 |
UDM
0 - 1
UDS
54%
23%
23%
|
21 | 20 | 1 | -1 |
| 28 Feb. 2016 |
UDM
0 - 1
CEL
62%
21%
17%
|
22 | 18 | 4 | -1 |
| 21 Feb. 2016 |
MAL
0 - 0
UDM
28%
26%
46%
|
22 | 18 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2016 |
UDM
1 - 0
PED
85%
11%
4%
|
22 | 10 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Quinto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Mar. 2016 |
QUI
0 - 0
CEL
47%
25%
29%
|
19 | 19 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2016 |
MAL
3 - 2
QUI
38%
26%
36%
|
20 | 19 | 1 | -1 |
| 21 Feb. 2016 |
FUE
1 - 0
QUI
39%
26%
36%
|
21 | 19 | 2 | -1 |
| 14 Feb. 2016 |
QUI
1 - 0
CDM
51%
24%
25%
|
20 | 19 | 1 | +1 |
| 07 Feb. 2016 |
SAN
0 - 1
QUI
23%
24%
53%
|
20 | 13 | 7 | 0 |