Montecarlo vs Pomar analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
50.6%
Win probability
1.79
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.2%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.9%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.4%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.7%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.2%
26.1%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
15.5%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.2%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Montecarlo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Oct. 2011 |
ALC
2 - 1
UDM
58%
21%
21%
|
19 | 22 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2011 |
UDM
0 - 0
FRA
28%
24%
48%
|
19 | 25 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2011 |
ATL
1 - 1
UDM
59%
21%
20%
|
19 | 22 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2011 |
UDM
3 - 0
PEN
47%
23%
30%
|
18 | 18 | 0 | +1 |
| 04 Sep. 2011 |
LAL
0 - 4
UDM
60%
21%
19%
|
17 | 20 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Pomar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Oct. 2011 |
POM
1 - 1
STA
36%
26%
38%
|
18 | 19 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2011 |
PEN
2 - 0
POM
26%
25%
49%
|
18 | 14 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2011 |
POM
1 - 1
ZUE
24%
24%
53%
|
18 | 23 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2011 |
UDC
3 - 1
POM
54%
22%
24%
|
19 | 19 | 0 | -1 |
| 04 Sep. 2011 |
POM
1 - 1
UDP
81%
13%
6%
|
19 | 9 | 10 | 0 |