Montecarlo vs Pedrola analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
42.9%
Win probability
1.56
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.8%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.9%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.4%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.7%
32.5%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
0-1
7.4%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
18.2%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
9.3%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Montecarlo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Nov. 2009 |
TER
2 - 0
UDM
65%
20%
16%
|
15 | 20 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2009 |
UDM
1 - 1
UDS
33%
25%
42%
|
15 | 19 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2009 |
TAR
3 - 1
UDM
74%
16%
10%
|
16 | 27 | 11 | -1 |
| 18 Oct. 2009 |
UDM
2 - 3
CFB
35%
23%
42%
|
16 | 18 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2009 |
UNI
2 - 0
UDM
77%
15%
8%
|
16 | 43 | 27 | 0 |
Matches
Pedrola
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Nov. 2009 |
PED
0 - 0
LAA
30%
24%
46%
|
16 | 20 | 4 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2009 |
CAL
3 - 0
PED
67%
19%
14%
|
16 | 22 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2009 |
PED
3 - 1
GAR
71%
17%
12%
|
16 | 11 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2009 |
CDE
1 - 0
PED
73%
17%
10%
|
16 | 28 | 12 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2009 |
PED
5 - 2
SAA
30%
24%
46%
|
15 | 19 | 4 | +1 |