Montecarlo vs Lalueza analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
65.8%
Win probability
2.05
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.2%
4-0
4.1%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.8%
3-0
8.1%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.1%
2-0
11.8%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.1%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
20.1%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.1%
14.1%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.9%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
+35%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Montecarlo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Feb. 2017 |
CDM
2 - 0
UDM
47%
25%
28%
|
17 | 17 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2017 |
UDM
1 - 2
GIN
73%
17%
10%
|
18 | 12 | 6 | -1 |
| 29 Jan. 2017 |
UDM
2 - 1
CDA
58%
22%
19%
|
17 | 15 | 2 | +1 |
| 22 Jan. 2017 |
ATL
0 - 1
UDM
75%
17%
9%
|
16 | 25 | 9 | +1 |
| 15 Jan. 2017 |
UDB
1 - 0
UDM
34%
25%
41%
|
17 | 15 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Lalueza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Feb. 2017 |
LAL
2 - 1
CDA
25%
25%
50%
|
11 | 15 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2017 |
ATL
2 - 1
LAL
83%
13%
4%
|
12 | 25 | 13 | -1 |
| 29 Jan. 2017 |
LAL
1 - 2
UDB
28%
25%
47%
|
12 | 15 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2017 |
PEN
2 - 1
LAL
69%
19%
12%
|
13 | 17 | 4 | -1 |
| 15 Jan. 2017 |
PEN
2 - 1
LAL
46%
25%
29%
|
13 | 13 | 0 | 0 |