Montecarlo vs Lalueza analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
61.5%
Win probability
2.05
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.2%
3-0
6.8%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11%
2-0
10%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.7%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
10%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.7%
20.8%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
20.8%
17.7%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
11.6%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.5%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-21%
+43%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Montecarlo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jan. 2012 |
UDM
0 - 2
ALF
52%
23%
25%
|
20 | 18 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2012 |
SAN
1 - 1
UDM
40%
24%
36%
|
20 | 18 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 2012 |
UDM
2 - 1
CFA
34%
26%
40%
|
19 | 22 | 3 | +1 |
| 18 Dec. 2011 |
TAM
5 - 0
UDM
65%
19%
16%
|
20 | 24 | 4 | -1 |
| 11 Dec. 2011 |
UDM
2 - 1
ACF
44%
24%
33%
|
19 | 19 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
Lalueza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jan. 2012 |
STA
6 - 2
LAL
68%
19%
13%
|
15 | 20 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2012 |
LAL
0 - 1
PEN
39%
25%
36%
|
16 | 17 | 1 | -1 |
| 08 Jan. 2012 |
ZUE
2 - 0
LAL
56%
23%
21%
|
16 | 19 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 2011 |
LAL
0 - 1
UDC
43%
26%
32%
|
17 | 18 | 1 | -1 |
| 11 Dec. 2011 |
UDP
1 - 2
LAL
18%
21%
61%
|
17 | 10 | 7 | 0 |