Montecarlo vs Herrera analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
35.4%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.4%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.3%
2-0
5.1%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.3%
1-0
6.9%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18.8%
24%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
11%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24%
40.6%
Win probability
1.59
Expected goals
0-1
7.5%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.3%
0-2
5.9%
1-3
4.6%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
12.1%
0-3
3.1%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
5.5%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Montecarlo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Sep. 2019 |
ATC
3 - 0
UDM
62%
20%
18%
|
16 | 19 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2019 |
AND
2 - 2
UDM
65%
20%
16%
|
16 | 18 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2019 |
UDM
2 - 4
ACF
26%
22%
52%
|
17 | 21 | 4 | -1 |
| 24 May. 2019 |
UDM
3 - 1
FUE
49%
23%
28%
|
17 | 16 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2019 |
CDM
4 - 1
UDM
42%
25%
34%
|
18 | 16 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Herrera
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Sep. 2019 |
HER
4 - 1
AND
39%
23%
39%
|
17 | 18 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2019 |
ACF
3 - 0
HER
69%
18%
14%
|
17 | 21 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2019 |
HER
0 - 1
ALF
45%
23%
32%
|
18 | 18 | 0 | -1 |
| 26 May. 2019 |
HER
4 - 0
CDM
48%
22%
30%
|
18 | 18 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2019 |
SFE
1 - 1
HER
34%
24%
42%
|
18 | 15 | 3 | 0 |