Montecarlo vs UD Fraga analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
19.8%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.5%
2-0
2.8%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
5.1%
1-0
5.4%
2-1
5.3%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.8%
22%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
22%
58.2%
Win probability
1.92
Expected goals
0-1
10.1%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.9%
0-2
9.7%
1-3
6.4%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
17.8%
0-3
6.2%
1-4
3.1%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
9.9%
0-4
3%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.4%
0-5
1.1%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.6%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
-27%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Montecarlo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Apr. 2022 |
ATL
1 - 2
UDM
46%
23%
31%
|
17 | 18 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2022 |
UDM
1 - 0
UDC
44%
24%
32%
|
16 | 18 | 2 | +1 |
| 20 Mar. 2022 |
CDM
1 - 1
UDM
25%
23%
52%
|
16 | 13 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2022 |
UDM
3 - 1
PEN
80%
13%
7%
|
16 | 9 | 7 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2022 |
ALC
3 - 1
UDM
34%
24%
43%
|
17 | 15 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
UD Fraga
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Mar. 2022 |
FRA
2 - 0
ATL
73%
17%
11%
|
25 | 18 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2022 |
UDC
1 - 1
FRA
16%
21%
63%
|
26 | 17 | 9 | -1 |
| 13 Mar. 2022 |
FRA
2 - 1
CDM
80%
13%
7%
|
26 | 13 | 13 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2022 |
PEN
0 - 6
FRA
7%
16%
77%
|
26 | 9 | 17 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2022 |
ALC
0 - 1
FRA
16%
21%
64%
|
26 | 16 | 10 | 0 |